Kevin Holland vs Randy Brown

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Both are tall, long welterweights with similar volume and accuracy, but Holland's sharper countering, proven power against higher-tier opposition, and opportunistic front-choke game give him more finishing upside. Brown's improved defense and 3-inch reach edge help him early at range, but his tendency to get hurt in exchanges and to give up bad positions in scrambles suits Holland's chaotic style. Over three rounds, Holland's durability, willingness to pressure, and ability to hurt or club-and-sub opponents slightly outweigh Brown's cleaner boxing and better takedown defense.