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WINNER
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. UlbergWelterweightPrelims
Kevin
Holland
16-12UFC
VS
Randy
Brown
14-7UFC
Final: Kevin Holland by U-DEC
Who wins
Holland winsevenBrown wins
Elo 50% Holland
GPT 63% Holland
GPT
63%
Holland
Elo
50%
Holland
1572 vs 1571
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'3"
Height
6'3"
81"
Reach
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4.24
Landed / min
4.38
3.21
Absorbed / minlower better
3.20
49%
Strike accuracy
47%
50%
Strike defense
54%
0.83
Takedowns / 15
0.72
38%
TD accuracy
39%
54%
TD defense
70%
0.6
Subs / 15
0.6
How it ends
52%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO
KO/TKO 52%Submission 11%Decision 37%
Formnewest first
Kevin Holland175 days out
L
Mike Malott
U-DEC · 2025-10-18
L
Daniel Rodriguez
U-DEC · 2025-07-19
W
Vicente Luque
SUB Anaconda Choke · 2025-06-07
W
Gunnar Nelson
U-DEC · 2025-03-22
L
Reinier de Ridder
SUB Rear Naked Choke · 2025-01-18
Randy Brown153 days out
L
Gabriel Bonfim
KO/TKO Knee · 2025-11-08
W
Nicolas Dalby
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-04-26
L
Bryan Battle
S-DEC · 2024-12-07
W
Muslim Salikhov
KO/TKO · 2024-02-03
W
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
U-DEC · 2024-01-01
Why
GPT
Kevin Holland
63% · KO/TKO
- Power and finishing threat: Holland has a stronger history of hurting durable opponents and converting chaos into KOs or club-and-sub finishes.
- Defensive dynamics: Brown's 54% strike defense and historical susceptibility to being rocked are concerning against an accurate 49% counter-striker like Holland.
- Grappling opportunism: Both are capable grapplers, but Holland's front-choke and opportunistic submission game are more dangerous in transitions if Brown is hurt or forced into reactive shots.
Write-up
Both are tall, long welterweights with similar volume and accuracy, but Holland's sharper countering, proven power against higher-tier opposition, and opportunistic front-choke game give him more finishing upside. Brown's improved defense and 3-inch reach edge help him early at range, but his tendency to get hurt in exchanges and to give up bad positions in scrambles suits Holland's chaotic style. Over three rounds, Holland's durability, willingness to pressure, and ability to hurt or club-and-sub opponents slightly outweigh Brown's cleaner boxing and better takedown defense.