Back
WINNER
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. UlbergLight HeavyweightMain card
Dominick
Reyes
9-5UFC
VS
Johnny
Walker
8-7UFC
Final: Dominick Reyes by S-DEC
Who wins
Reyes winsevenWalker wins
Elo 59% Reyes
GPT 63% Reyes
GPT
63%
Reyes
Elo
59%
Reyes
1615 vs 1550
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'4"
Height
6'6"
77"
Reach
82"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
4.87
Landed / min
3.87
3.75
Absorbed / minlower better
3.12
50%
Strike accuracy
53%
48%
Strike defense
44%
0.35
Takedowns / 15
0.45
28%
TD accuracy
100%
80%
TD defense
57%
0.3
Subs / 15
0.9
How it ends
54%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO
KO/TKO 54%Submission 6%Decision 40%
Formnewest first
Dominick Reyes196 days out
L
Carlos Ulberg
KO/TKO Punches · 2025-09-27
W
Nikita Krylov
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-04-12
W
Anthony Smith
KO/TKO Punches · 2024-12-07
W
Dustin Jacoby
KO/TKO · 2024-01-06
L
Ryan Spann
KO/TKO · 2022-11-12
Johnny Walker231 days out
W
Zhang Mingyang
KO/TKO Punches · 2025-08-23
L
Volkan Oezdemir
KO/TKO · 2024-01-20
L
Magomed Ankalaev
KO/TKO · 2024-01-13
L
Magomed Ankalaev
CNC · 2023-10-21
W
Anthony Smith
U-DEC · 2023-05-13
Why
GPT
Dominick Reyes
63% · KO/TKO
- Reyes has higher volume (4.87 SLpM vs 3.87) and better strike differential (1.12 vs 0.75), suggesting he wins most structured striking exchanges.
- Walker's defensive metrics (44% striking defense, 57% TD defense) and tendency to be wild create clean counter opportunities for Reyes' southpaw boxing.
- Reyes' 80% takedown defense and historically solid anti-wrestling reduce Walker's ability to leverage his 100% TD accuracy and higher submission rate (0.9 sub avg).
Write-up
Reyes is the cleaner, more structured striker with higher output and better defensive metrics, and his 80% takedown defense limits Walker's opportunistic wrestling/grappling. Walker is dangerous and explosive early, but his defensive lapses, lower strike differential, and historical inconsistency against composed counter-strikers favor Reyes if his durability holds. Reyes' southpaw straight left and counters should find openings as Walker overextends, making a mid-fight KO/TKO slightly more likely than a decision in this volatile matchup.