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WINNER
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. UlbergFeatherweightPrelims
Cub
Swanson
15-10UFC
VS
Nate
Landwehr
5-5UFC
Final: Cub Swanson by KO/TKO Punch
Who wins
Swanson winsevenLandwehr wins
GPT 68% Landwehr
Elo 65% Swanson
GPT
68%
Landwehr
Elo
65%
Swanson
1590 vs 1483
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'8"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4.67
Landed / min
5.55
3.86
Absorbed / minlower better
5.96
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
59%
Strike defense
51%
1.04
Takedowns / 15
0.73
50%
TD accuracy
41%
63%
TD defense
71%
0.4
Subs / 15
0.7
How it ends
55%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 32%Submission 13%Decision 55%
Formnewest first
Cub Swanson482 days out
W
Billy Quarantillo
KO/TKO Punch · 2024-12-14
L
Andre Fili
S-DEC · 2024-01-27
W
Hakeem Dawodu
U-DEC · 2023-08-12
L
Jonathan Martinez
KO/TKO · 2022-10-15
W
Darren Elkins
KO/TKO · 2021-12-18
Nate Landwehr273 days out
L
Morgan Charriere
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-07-12
L
Dooho Choi
KO/TKO Elbows · 2024-12-07
W
Jamall Emmers
KO/TKO · 2024-03-30
L
Dan Ige
U-DEC · 2023-06-10
W
Austin Lingo
SUB · 2023-03-25
Why
GPT
Nate Landwehr
68% · Decision
- Volume and Pace: Landwehr averages 6.25 SLpM to Swanson's 4.67, and thrives in high-pace brawls that judges tend to reward.
- Durability and Wear: Swanson has far more career mileage and knockout losses, while Landwehr, though hittable, has shown more consistent late-fight resilience in recent outings.
- Wrestling Insurance and Defense: Landwehr's 86% takedown defense and willingness to clinch and wrestle can steal minutes and blunt Swanson's rhythm if the boxing exchanges are close.
Write-up
Landwehr's higher output, better recent durability, and strong takedown defense should allow him to pressure Swanson over three rounds. Swanson is the cleaner technician with superior shot selection and counters, but his age, accumulated damage, and declining speed make it harder to win a sustained volume war against a younger, relentless pressure fighter who can mix in clinch and occasional takedowns. Landwehr's pace and cardio give him the edge in close rounds, especially if Swanson slows late.