Featherweight · Prelims · UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
FINAL: Cub Swanson by KO/TKO Punch
Cub Swanson
Age 42 · Elo 1590
WLWLW
482 days since last fight
vs
Nate Landwehr
Age 37 · Elo 1498
LLWLW
273 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Cub SwansonNate Landwehr
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Cub SwansonNate Landwehr
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
GPT
Nate Landwehr by Decision, 68% confidence
Landwehr's higher output, better recent durability, and strong takedown defense should allow him to pressure Swanson over three rounds. Swanson is the cleaner technician with superior shot selection and counters, but his age, accumulated damage, and declining speed make it harder to win a sustained volume war against a younger, relentless pressure fighter who can mix in clinch and occasional takedowns. Landwehr's pace and cardio give him the edge in close rounds, especially if Swanson slows late.