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WINNER
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. UlbergWelterweightPrelims
Charles
Radtke
3-3UFC
VS
Francisco
Prado
1-4UFC
Final: Charles Radtke by U-DEC
Who wins
Radtke winsevenPrado wins
Elo 57% Radtke
GPT 69% Radtke
GPT
69%
Radtke
Elo
57%
Radtke
1508 vs 1459
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'9"
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.38
Landed / min
4.58
3.03
Absorbed / minlower better
5.66
53%
Strike accuracy
41%
56%
Strike defense
52%
0.59
Takedowns / 15
0.00
12%
TD accuracy
0%
100%
TD defense
25%
n/a
Subs / 15
0.4
How it ends
67%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 27%Submission 6%Decision 67%
Formnewest first
Charles Radtke161 days out
W
Daniel Frunza
SUB Rear Naked Choke · 2025-11-01
L
Mike Malott
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-05-10
L
win
· 2024-11-09
W
Gilbert Urbina
KO/TKO · 2024-02-03
L
Carlos Prates
KO/TKO · 2024-01-06
Francisco Prado266 days out
L
Nikolay Veretennikov
S-DEC · 2025-07-19
L
Jake Matthews
U-DEC · 2025-02-08
L
Daniel Zellhuber
U-DEC · 2024-02-24
W
Ottman Azaitar
KO/TKO · 2023-07-15
L
Jamie Mullarkey
U-DEC · 2023-02-11
Why
GPT
Charles Radtke
69% · Decision
- Radtke's superior defensive metrics (56% striking defense, positive differential) versus Prado's negative strike differential and higher SApM (5.66)
- Radtke's more efficient striking (53% accuracy) against Prado's 41% with similar effective strike rate but less defensive responsibility from Prado
- Prado's weak takedown defense (25%) and lack of proven wrestling offense, limiting his ability to change the fight if he's getting outpointed
Write-up
Radtke is the more defensively sound, process-driven striker with a positive strike differential and 56% striking defense versus Prado's -1.08 differential and higher damage intake. Prado throws more volume and has greater finishing upside, but his 25% takedown defense and porous defensive metrics suggest Radtke's cleaner shot selection, 53% accuracy, and 100% TD defense should allow him to dictate a measured, lower-variance pace over three rounds. Unless Prado lands something big early, Radtke's consistency and durability profile favor a decision win.