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UFC 327: Prochazka vs. UlbergWelterweightPrelims
Charles RadtkeWINNER
Charles
Radtke
3-3UFC
35 yrsElo 1508
VS
Francisco Prado
Francisco
Prado
1-4UFC
23 yrsElo 1459
Final: Charles Radtke by U-DEC
Who wins
GPT
69%
Radtke
Elo
57%
Radtke
1508 vs 1459
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'9" Height 5'10"
72" Reach 69"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
3.38 Landed / min 4.58
3.03 Absorbed / minlower better 5.66
53% Strike accuracy 41%
56% Strike defense 52%
0.59 Takedowns / 15 0.00
12% TD accuracy 0%
100% TD defense 25%
n/a Subs / 15 0.4
How it ends
GPT: KO/TKO 27%GPT: Submission 6%GPT: Decision 67%
67%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 27%Submission 6%Decision 67%
Formnewest first
Charles Radtke161 days out
W
Daniel Frunza
SUB Rear Naked Choke · 2025-11-01
L
Mike Malott
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-05-10
L
win
· 2024-11-09
W
Gilbert Urbina
KO/TKO · 2024-02-03
L
Carlos Prates
KO/TKO · 2024-01-06
Francisco Prado266 days out
L
Nikolay Veretennikov
S-DEC · 2025-07-19
L
Jake Matthews
U-DEC · 2025-02-08
L
Daniel Zellhuber
U-DEC · 2024-02-24
W
Ottman Azaitar
KO/TKO · 2023-07-15
L
Jamie Mullarkey
U-DEC · 2023-02-11
Why
GPT
Charles Radtke
69% · Decision
  • Radtke's superior defensive metrics (56% striking defense, positive differential) versus Prado's negative strike differential and higher SApM (5.66)
  • Radtke's more efficient striking (53% accuracy) against Prado's 41% with similar effective strike rate but less defensive responsibility from Prado
  • Prado's weak takedown defense (25%) and lack of proven wrestling offense, limiting his ability to change the fight if he's getting outpointed
Write-up

Radtke is the more defensively sound, process-driven striker with a positive strike differential and 56% striking defense versus Prado's -1.08 differential and higher damage intake. Prado throws more volume and has greater finishing upside, but his 25% takedown defense and porous defensive metrics suggest Radtke's cleaner shot selection, 53% accuracy, and 100% TD defense should allow him to dictate a measured, lower-variance pace over three rounds. Unless Prado lands something big early, Radtke's consistency and durability profile favor a decision win.