Fight Genie logo Fight Genie
Back to the card

Charles Radtke vs Francisco Prado

Welterweight · Prelims · UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg

FINAL: Charles Radtke by U-DEC
Charles Radtke
Charles Radtke
Age 35 · Elo 1508
WLLWL
161 days since last fight
vs
Francisco Prado
Francisco Prado
Age 23 · Elo 1442
LLLWL
266 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Charles RadtkeFrancisco Prado
GPT GPT: Charles Radtke 69% GPT: Francisco Prado 31% 69% 31% Elo Elo: Charles Radtke 59% Elo: Francisco Prado 41% 59% 41%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Charles RadtkeFrancisco Prado
Strikes landed / min Charles Radtke Strikes landed / min: 3.38 3.38 Francisco Prado Strikes landed / min: 4.58 4.58 Strikes absorbed / min Charles Radtke Strikes absorbed / min: 3.03 3.03 Francisco Prado Strikes absorbed / min: 5.66 5.66 Striking accuracy Charles Radtke Striking accuracy: 53% 53% Francisco Prado Striking accuracy: 41% 41% Striking defense Charles Radtke Striking defense: 56% 56% Francisco Prado Striking defense: 52% 52% Takedowns / 15 min Charles Radtke Takedowns / 15 min: 0.59 0.59 Francisco Prado Takedowns / 15 min: 0.00 0.00 Takedown defense Charles Radtke Takedown defense: 100% 100% Francisco Prado Takedown defense: 25% 25% Sub attempts / 15 min Charles Radtke Sub attempts / 15 min: no data - Francisco Prado Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.4 0.4

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
GPT GPT: KO/TKO 27% 27% GPT: Submission 6% GPT: Decision 67% 67%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

GPT
Charles Radtke by Decision, 69% confidence

Radtke is the more defensively sound, process-driven striker with a positive strike differential and 56% striking defense versus Prado's -1.08 differential and higher damage intake. Prado throws more volume and has greater finishing upside, but his 25% takedown defense and porous defensive metrics suggest Radtke's cleaner shot selection, 53% accuracy, and 100% TD defense should allow him to dictate a measured, lower-variance pace over three rounds. Unless Prado lands something big early, Radtke's consistency and durability profile favor a decision win.