Welterweight · Prelims · UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
FINAL: Charles Radtke by U-DEC
Charles Radtke
Age 35 · Elo 1508
WLLWL
161 days since last fight
vs
Francisco Prado
Age 23 · Elo 1442
LLLWL
266 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Charles RadtkeFrancisco Prado
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Charles RadtkeFrancisco Prado
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
GPT
Charles Radtke by Decision, 69% confidence
Radtke is the more defensively sound, process-driven striker with a positive strike differential and 56% striking defense versus Prado's -1.08 differential and higher damage intake. Prado throws more volume and has greater finishing upside, but his 25% takedown defense and porous defensive metrics suggest Radtke's cleaner shot selection, 53% accuracy, and 100% TD defense should allow him to dictate a measured, lower-variance pace over three rounds. Unless Prado lands something big early, Radtke's consistency and durability profile favor a decision win.