- Striking differential heavily favors Ulberg (+3.81 vs -0.21), indicating he consistently wins minutes on the feet.
- Ulberg absorbs far fewer strikes per minute (3.6 vs 5.59) with better defensive efficiency (52% vs 39%), key against Jiri's wild, open style.
- Higher striking accuracy (59% vs 55%) and more measured approach give Ulberg better chance to exploit Jiri's defensive lapses for a KO/TKO.
- Grappling metrics slightly favor Ulberg (0.95 TD avg, 75% TDAcc, 75% TDDef), giving him a backup route to disrupt Jiri's rhythm if needed.
- Jiri's negative strike differential and low strike defense historically create high damage exchanges that favor the cleaner, more efficient technician over time.
Write-up
Ulberg's statistical profile points to a much cleaner, more defensively sound striking game and better overall efficiency. He lands significantly more strikes per minute (7.41 vs 5.38) with higher accuracy (59% vs 55%) while absorbing far fewer (3.6 vs 5.59), yielding a large positive differential (+3.81 vs Jiri's negative -0.21). Prochazka's style is high-variance and chaotic with poor strike defense (39%), which historically leaves him open to sharp counters and accumulative damage. Ulberg's tighter boxing, superior shot selection, and better takedown metrics (higher TD accuracy and defense) suggest he can either pick Jiri apart at range or punish his defensive lapses in the pocket. While Jiri always has knockout volatility and unorthodox offense, the numbers and technical trends favor Ulberg finding a stoppage once Jiri's defensive holes accumulate over time.