Jiri Prochazka vs Carlos Ulberg

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Ulberg's statistical profile points to a much cleaner, more defensively sound striking game and better overall efficiency. He lands significantly more strikes per minute (7.41 vs 5.38) with higher accuracy (59% vs 55%) while absorbing far fewer (3.6 vs 5.59), yielding a large positive differential (+3.81 vs Jiri's negative -0.21). Prochazka's style is high-variance and chaotic with poor strike defense (39%), which historically leaves him open to sharp counters and accumulative damage. Ulberg's tighter boxing, superior shot selection, and better takedown metrics (higher TD accuracy and defense) suggest he can either pick Jiri apart at range or punish his defensive lapses in the pocket. While Jiri always has knockout volatility and unorthodox offense, the numbers and technical trends favor Ulberg finding a stoppage once Jiri's defensive holes accumulate over time.