Patricio Freire vs Aaron Pico

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Despite Freire's experience and elite takedown defense, Pico's youth, explosive wrestling, and increasingly sharp boxing create a strong durability and athleticism edge at this stage. Over three rounds, Pico's pressure, power combinations, and top control threats should force high-paced exchanges where Freire's declining durability and lower output become liabilities, making a late KO/TKO or dominant striking performance the most likely outcome.