Rob Font vs Raul Rosas Jr.

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

This classic striker vs grappler matchup heavily favors Rosas Jr.'s elite wrestling (4.02 takedowns per fight) against Font's poor 44% takedown defense. Font's striking volume advantage (5.44 vs 1.55 SLPM) becomes irrelevant once Rosas secures takedowns. The 17-year age gap and Rosas's 85.7% win rate with multiple submission victories indicate he'll dominate the grappling exchanges. Font's recent losses to grapplers and Rosas's 1.3 submissions per fight create a clear path to victory for the young prospect.

Font's elite jab, high-volume, accurate boxing (5.44 SLpM, +1.86 differential) and vast experience against top bantamweights should allow him to punish Rosas' predictable entries and extended exchanges over three rounds. Rosas' heavy grappling approach (4.02 TD avg, 1.3 subs per 15) is dangerous early, but Font's veteran cage craft, cardio, and ability to frame, pummel, and strike off sprawls historically improve as fights go long. Unless Rosas can secure sustained back control or an early submission, he is likely to be outstruck at range and taxed by the pace, leading to Font pulling away late for a clear decision or late stoppage.