JooSang Yoo vs Gaston Bolanos
Featherweight · Prelims · UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
While Yoo lacks UFC data, Bolanos brings proven octagon experience despite recent struggles. His 43% striking accuracy and 3.88 SLPM output, though modest, represents tested UFC-level skills. Bolanos' recent move from bantamweight to featherweight could benefit him size-wise. His 2-fight losing streak came against higher-level competition, and this appears to be a confidence-building matchup. Yoo's orthodox stance matches Bolanos', neutralizing any stance advantage.
Bolanos is a proven, high-level Muay Thai striker with solid UFC striking metrics (3.88 SLpM at 43% accuracy, positive differential) and respectable defensive numbers. Yoo is an unknown quantity at the UFC level with no statistical sample, making it unlikely he can out-strike or safely navigate Bolanos' explosive kicking and elbow game over three rounds. Unless Yoo brings a surprisingly strong wrestling/grappling threat, Bolanos' experience, shot selection, and power should create knockdown opportunities and a likely finish.