Donte Johnson vs Dusko Todorovic

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Johnson's undefeated 7-0 record with 5 recent finishes showcases elite finishing ability. His extraordinary striking volume (14.06 vs 5.54 SLPM) and accuracy (71% vs 57%) create overwhelming offensive output. Todorovic's poor striking defense (46%) and recent KO losses to lesser competition expose major defensive liabilities. Johnson's southpaw stance creates additional problems for the orthodox Todorovic. The 5-year age gap and Johnson's momentum suggest a violent early finish against the declining Todorovic who has lost 3 of his last 5.

Johnson's striking numbers are clearly from an extremely small or skewed sample and are unsupported by any grappling data (0% TD offense/defense, no proven durability or win rate). Todorovic, while defensively flawed, has established UFC experience, proven finishing ability, and a more complete MMA game with some wrestling and clinch offense. Against an unproven newcomer with unknown durability and no demonstrated defensive metrics, Dusko's pressure, volume, and willingness to exchange favor him to create damage and find a stoppage, especially if he can mix in clinch and top control to tax Johnson's cardio.