Caio Borralho vs Reinier de Ridder

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Borralho enters with massive advantages across all metrics against a UFC debutant. His 100% UFC win rate, recent KO victories, and complete striking dominance (3.61 SLPM, 60% accuracy, 62% defense) face de Ridder who has zero UFC statistics and is coming off a loss. Borralho's southpaw stance, 75-inch reach, and proven UFC-level striking will overwhelm de Ridder's unknown capabilities. The lack of any meaningful data on de Ridder combined with Borralho's finishing ability makes this a severe mismatch.

Borralho has proven, efficient UFC metrics with high striking and takedown accuracy plus strong defensive numbers, which should allow him to control range and dictate where the fight takes place. De Ridder's elite grappling background from ONE makes him dangerous on the mat, but entering the UFC with no Octagon data and likely facing a more polished, defensively sound athlete over five rounds leans this toward Borralho outworking him with cleaner stand-up, better anti-wrestling, and positional awareness rather than taking big risks on the ground.