Kaan Ofli vs Yizha
Featherweight · Prelims · UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Despite both fighters coming off losses, Yizha presents significant grappling threats with 3.54 takedowns and 1.1 submissions per fight against Ofli's non-existent ground game (0% TD defense, 0 takedowns). Yizha's 5-inch reach advantage and slightly better striking volume (2.8 vs 1.85 SLPM) provide additional edges. Ofli's two recent KO losses raise durability concerns.
Yizha has a far more complete and proven statistical profile, with solid offensive wrestling volume (3.54 TDs per fight) and a meaningful submission threat (1.1 subs per fight) against an opponent with effectively no demonstrated takedown offense or defense. On the feet, Yizha has higher output and marginally better accuracy, while Ofli's negative strike differential and high strikes absorbed per minute suggest he struggles defensively. Over three rounds, Yizha's ability to mix takedowns with steady striking volume should allow him to control minutes, rack up top time, and win rounds, even if he doesn't secure a finish.