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Kaan Ofli vs Yizha

Featherweight · Prelims · UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2

FINAL: Kaan Ofli by M-DEC
Kaan Ofli
Kaan Ofli
Age 32 · Elo 1508*
WLL
112 days since last fight
vs
Yizha
Yizha
Age 29 · Elo 1465*
WLL
161 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Kaan OfliYizha
Claude Claude: Kaan Ofli 35% Claude: Yizha 65% 35% 65% GPT GPT: Kaan Ofli 24% GPT: Yizha 76% 24% 76% Elo Elo: Kaan Ofli 56% Elo: Yizha 44% 56% 44%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Kaan OfliYizha
Strikes landed / min Kaan Ofli Strikes landed / min: 1.85 1.85 Yizha Strikes landed / min: 2.80 2.80 Strikes absorbed / min Kaan Ofli Strikes absorbed / min: 4.77 4.77 Yizha Strikes absorbed / min: 2.83 2.83 Striking accuracy Kaan Ofli Striking accuracy: 42% 42% Yizha Striking accuracy: 44% 44% Striking defense Kaan Ofli Striking defense: 53% 53% Yizha Striking defense: 47% 47% Takedowns / 15 min Kaan Ofli Takedowns / 15 min: 0.00 0.00 Yizha Takedowns / 15 min: 3.54 3.54 Takedown defense Kaan Ofli Takedown defense: 0% 0% Yizha Takedown defense: 54% 54% Sub attempts / 15 min Kaan Ofli Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0 Yizha Sub attempts / 15 min: 1.1 1.1

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 20% 20% Claude: Submission 25% 25% Claude: Decision 55% 55%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 18% 18% GPT: Submission 27% 27% GPT: Decision 55% 55%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Yizha by Decision, 65% confidence

Despite both fighters coming off losses, Yizha presents significant grappling threats with 3.54 takedowns and 1.1 submissions per fight against Ofli's non-existent ground game (0% TD defense, 0 takedowns). Yizha's 5-inch reach advantage and slightly better striking volume (2.8 vs 1.85 SLPM) provide additional edges. Ofli's two recent KO losses raise durability concerns.

GPT
Yizha by Decision, 76% confidence

Yizha has a far more complete and proven statistical profile, with solid offensive wrestling volume (3.54 TDs per fight) and a meaningful submission threat (1.1 subs per fight) against an opponent with effectively no demonstrated takedown offense or defense. On the feet, Yizha has higher output and marginally better accuracy, while Ofli's negative strike differential and high strikes absorbed per minute suggest he struggles defensively. Over three rounds, Yizha's ability to mix takedowns with steady striking volume should allow him to control minutes, rack up top time, and win rounds, even if he doesn't secure a finish.