Quillan Salkilld vs Jamie Mullarkey

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Salkilld's overwhelming grappling advantage (9.0 takedowns per fight at 40% accuracy vs Mullarkey's 78% TDD) combined with Mullarkey's alarming recent form (3 KO losses in his last 5) creates a clear path to victory. Mullarkey's chin appears compromised, but Salkilld's submission-heavy approach (1.0 subs per fight) suggests he'll exploit the grappling disparity rather than stand and trade.

Salkilld's numbers point to a much higher-paced, more efficient mixed attack than Mullarkey, with a strong wrestling component (9 TDs per fight at 40% with 100% TD defense) layered onto superior striking volume and accuracy. Mullarkey is more experienced and defensively sound on the feet, but his negative strike differential, lower offensive volume, and less dominant wrestling profile suggest he'll be forced to fight off his back foot and defend takedowns. Over three rounds, Salkilld's activity and top control should bank minutes and scorecards more reliably than Mullarkey's counter offense or late-fight rallies.