Jacob Malkoun vs Torrez Finney
Middleweight · Prelims · UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Malkoun's recent KO victory shows improved striking power, while maintaining his wrestling-heavy approach. Finney's 0% takedown defense is extremely concerning against Malkoun's 6.62 takedowns per fight. Malkoun's superior striking defense (52% vs 50%) and experience in the UFC give him clear paths to victory through either ground control or improved striking.
Both are wrestle-grapplers, but Finney's numbers indicate a more explosive and efficient takedown game (10.0 TDs/fight at 69% vs. 6.6 at 42%) combined with higher striking accuracy and slightly better strike differential. Malkoun's historically porous takedown defense (20%) suggests he may be forced to work off his back more than usual, limiting his own top-control heavy style. Finney's higher submission rate per fight implies greater finishing threat on the mat, but Malkoun's durability and experience at UFC level make a grinding, control-heavy decision for Finney the most likely outcome.