Fight Genie logo Fight Genie
Back to the card

Sangwook Kim vs Dom Mar Fan

Lightweight · Prelims · UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2

FINAL: Dom Mar Fan by U-DEC
Sangwook Kim
Sangwook Kim
Age 32 · Elo 1480*
No UFC fights on record
vs
Dom Mar Fan
Dom Mar Fan
Elo 1520*
No UFC fights on record

Who wins, by source

Sangwook KimDom Mar Fan
Claude Claude: Sangwook Kim 62% Claude: Dom Mar Fan 38% 62% 38% GPT GPT: Sangwook Kim 63% GPT: Dom Mar Fan 37% 63% 37% Elo Elo: Sangwook Kim 44% Elo: Dom Mar Fan 56% 44% 56%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Sangwook KimDom Mar Fan
Strikes landed / min Sangwook Kim Strikes landed / min: 5.57 5.57 Dom Mar Fan Strikes landed / min: no data - Strikes absorbed / min Sangwook Kim Strikes absorbed / min: 7.94 7.94 Dom Mar Fan Strikes absorbed / min: no data - Striking accuracy Sangwook Kim Striking accuracy: 51% 51% Dom Mar Fan Striking accuracy: no data - Striking defense Sangwook Kim Striking defense: 48% 48% Dom Mar Fan Striking defense: no data - Takedowns / 15 min Sangwook Kim Takedowns / 15 min: 1.65 1.65 Dom Mar Fan Takedowns / 15 min: no data - Takedown defense Sangwook Kim Takedown defense: 66% 66% Dom Mar Fan Takedown defense: no data - Sub attempts / 15 min Sangwook Kim Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.8 0.8 Dom Mar Fan Sub attempts / 15 min: no data -

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 15% 15% Claude: Submission 25% 25% Claude: Decision 60% 60%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 27% 27% GPT: Submission 11% 11% GPT: Decision 62% 62%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Sangwook Kim by Decision, 62% confidence

Kim's established UFC metrics give him a clear edge over the debuting Fan. With a 51% striking accuracy and solid 66% takedown defense, Kim has shown he can compete at the UFC level. His orthodox stance and 72-inch reach provide standard lightweight dimensions. The striking differential of -2.37 is concerning, but his 1.65 takedowns per fight and 0.8 submission attempts show mixed martial arts capability. Fan lacks any UFC data, making this a classic veteran vs. newcomer scenario where experience typically prevails.

GPT
Sangwook Kim by Decision, 63% confidence

Available data only meaningfully profiles Sangwook Kim, who shows high offensive output (5.57 SLpM at 51% accuracy) but a very negative striking differential due to porous defense (7.94 SApM, 48% defense). That profile typically translates to competitive, high-variance striking fights where durability and cardio are tested. With Dom Mar Fan essentially an unknown statistically, the safest projection is that Kim's proven volume and willingness to mix in takedowns (1.65 per fight, even at low accuracy) edge close rounds on activity. However, his defensive liabilities and lack of demonstrated finishing rate in this sample point more toward a high-output, back-and-forth bout that reaches the scorecards rather than a consistent finishing threat.