Sangwook Kim vs Dom Mar Fan
Lightweight · Prelims · UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Kim's established UFC metrics give him a clear edge over the debuting Fan. With a 51% striking accuracy and solid 66% takedown defense, Kim has shown he can compete at the UFC level. His orthodox stance and 72-inch reach provide standard lightweight dimensions. The striking differential of -2.37 is concerning, but his 1.65 takedowns per fight and 0.8 submission attempts show mixed martial arts capability. Fan lacks any UFC data, making this a classic veteran vs. newcomer scenario where experience typically prevails.
Available data only meaningfully profiles Sangwook Kim, who shows high offensive output (5.57 SLpM at 51% accuracy) but a very negative striking differential due to porous defense (7.94 SApM, 48% defense). That profile typically translates to competitive, high-variance striking fights where durability and cardio are tested. With Dom Mar Fan essentially an unknown statistically, the safest projection is that Kim's proven volume and willingness to mix in takedowns (1.65 per fight, even at low accuracy) edge close rounds on activity. However, his defensive liabilities and lack of demonstrated finishing rate in this sample point more toward a high-output, back-and-forth bout that reaches the scorecards rather than a consistent finishing threat.