Cam Rowston vs Cody Brundage

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Despite Rowston's 6-inch reach advantage and superior striking defense (47% vs 41%), Brundage's wrestling (2.31 takedowns per fight at 50% accuracy) should control this fight. Rowston's abysmal 28% takedown defense is the key vulnerability Brundage will exploit. While Brundage is on a downward trend, his grappling-heavy approach matches perfectly against Rowston's defensive wrestling liability.

Brundage has a large wrestling and grappling edge (2.31 TDs per 15 with 50% accuracy vs Rowston's 28% TD defense). Rowston's numbers suggest a low-volume, relatively efficient striker with no offensive wrestling, which is a poor profile against a physically strong, takedown-focused opponent. Brundage's submission rate (0.9 per 15) plus Rowston's weak defensive grappling metrics point to extended top control with a strong chance of a finish on the mat if Rowston cannot consistently scramble up.