Natalia Silva vs Rose Namajunas

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Silva's undefeated record (5-0 UFC) and superior striking metrics give her clear advantages. Her striking differential of +2.84 significantly outpaces Namajunas' +0.32, while maintaining identical defensive percentages (64%). Silva's 91% takedown defense neutralizes Rose's wrestling advantage (1.55 TD avg). Both fighters share common opponents in Jessica Andrade, with both securing wins, but Silva's recent form and momentum are superior. The southpaw vs orthodox matchup favors Silva's angles.

Silva's pace, striking efficiency, and elite takedown defense are well-tailored to neutralize Rose's more diverse but lower-volume game over three to five rounds. Silva lands significantly more strikes per minute with better accuracy and a far superior strike differential, while defending 91% of takedowns. Rose's main path is mixing in takedowns and creating scrambles for submission threats, but her historically middling takedown defense and lower output suggest she'll be outworked at range and struggle to hold dominant positions long enough to bank rounds consistently.