Josh Hokit vs Denzel Freeman

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Hokit shows exceptional striking accuracy (77%) and massive takedown output (14.75 TDAvg) despite limited UFC data. Freeman has zero recorded UFC stats, suggesting debut status. The orthodox vs southpaw dynamic favors Hokit's 77% striking accuracy landing power shots. Hokit's 4-inch reach disadvantage is mitigated by his wrestling threat forcing Freeman to defend level changes. With Freeman showing 0% striking stats and no grappling defense metrics, Hokit's aggressive style and 4.43 SLPM volume should overwhelm the debutant. The 29-pound weight difference (236 vs 265) suggests Hokit has speed advantages.

Hokit is an extremely wrestling-heavy fighter with massive takedown volume and efficiency, and Freeman enters with effectively no available UFC data, suggesting either debut status or unproven UFC-level defense. Hokit's 14.75 TDs per fight and 77% striking accuracy, even if from a small sample, indicate a control-based, high-percentage game that should reliably neutralize Freeman's offense over three rounds despite a 4-inch reach disadvantage and southpaw look. Without evidence that Freeman has strong takedown defense or a dangerous guard, the most likely outcome is Hokit repeatedly securing takedowns, maintaining top control, and winning rounds rather than forcing a finish.