Fight Genie logo Fight Genie
Back
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. PimblettFeatherweightPrelims
Arnold Allen
Arnold
Allen
11-2UFC
32 yrsElo 1625
VS
Jean SilvaWINNER
Jean
Silva
5-1UFC
48 yrsElo 1627
Final: Jean Silva by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
68%
Silva
GPT
68%
Allen
Elo
50%
Allen
1625 vs 1627
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'8" Height 5'7"
70" Reach n/a
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
3.52 Landed / min 0.73
3.15 Absorbed / minlower better 2.93
43% Strike accuracy 22%
60% Strike defense 52%
1.24 Takedowns / 15 0.81
60% TD accuracy 0%
73% TD defense 0%
0.3 Subs / 15 0.0
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 55%Claude: Submission 5%Claude: Decision 40%
55%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 55%Submission 5%Decision 40%
GPT: KO/TKO 22%GPT: Submission 10%GPT: Decision 68%
68%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 22%Submission 10%Decision 68%
Formnewest first
Arnold Allen707 days out
W
Giga Chikadze
U-DEC · 2024-02-17
L
Movsar Evloev
U-DEC · 2024-01-20
L
Max Holloway
U-DEC · 2023-04-15
W
Calvin Kattar
KO/TKO · 2022-10-29
W
Dan Hooker
KO/TKO · 2022-03-19
Jean Silva133 days out
L
Diego Lopes
KO/TKO Punches · 2025-09-13
W
Bryce Mitchell
SUB Guillotine Choke · 2025-04-12
W
Melsik Baghdasaryan
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-02-22
W
Drew Dober
KO/TKO · 2024-02-03
W
Charles Jourdain
KO/TKO · 2024-01-27
Why
Claude
Jean Silva
68% · KO/TKO
  • Silva averages 5.37 significant strikes per minute with 52% accuracy vs Allen's 3.45 at 41%
  • Silva is 5-0 in UFC with all wins by KO/TKO, showing elite finishing ability
  • Allen's recent form shows vulnerability with 2 losses in last 4 fights
  • Silva's superior striking defense (57% vs Allen's 61% opponent accuracy) limits return fire
Write-up

Silva's explosive striking volume (5.37 SLPM vs Allen's 3.45) combined with his perfect 5-0 UFC record via all knockouts presents a significant threat. Allen has shown vulnerability in recent fights, going 2-2 in his last 4. Silva's 11% better striking accuracy (52% vs 41%) and superior striking differential (+0.94 vs +0.57) indicate he lands cleaner, more impactful shots. The weight class movement for Silva (fighting at both 145 and 155) suggests strong physical conditioning.

GPT
Arnold Allen
68% · Decision
  • Defensive edge: Allen absorbs fewer strikes per minute (2.88 vs 4.43) while maintaining solid output, suggesting he can blunt Silva's volume advantage.
  • Level of competition & composure: Allen's stats are built against elite featherweights, indicating his striking efficiency and wrestling hold up at the top level, whereas Silva is less tested over long, competitive fights.
  • Stylistic matchup: Southpaw counterpunching, good footwork, and opportunistic takedowns from Allen are well-suited to punish Silva's forward pressure and defensive gaps, especially in rounds 2, 3.
Write-up

Allen's more proven five-round durability, superior defensive metrics (61% vs 57% striking defense, better SApM), and more complete game with efficient takedowns (47% TDAcc vs top competition) match up well against Silva's high-output but hittable style. Silva's volume and power are real threats, but against a defensively sound southpaw who manages distance, mixes in level changes, and historically performs well in longer, technical fights, Silva is more likely to be contained over three rounds than to consistently find clean finishing sequences.