Arnold Allen vs Jean Silva

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Silva's explosive striking volume (5.37 SLPM vs Allen's 3.45) combined with his perfect 5-0 UFC record via all knockouts presents a significant threat. Allen has shown vulnerability in recent fights, going 2-2 in his last 4. Silva's 11% better striking accuracy (52% vs 41%) and superior striking differential (+0.94 vs +0.57) indicate he lands cleaner, more impactful shots. The weight class movement for Silva (fighting at both 145 and 155) suggests strong physical conditioning.

Allen's more proven five-round durability, superior defensive metrics (61% vs 57% striking defense, better SApM), and more complete game with efficient takedowns (47% TDAcc vs top competition) match up well against Silva's high-output but hittable style. Silva's volume and power are real threats, but against a defensively sound southpaw who manages distance, mixes in level changes, and historically performs well in longer, technical fights, Silva is more likely to be contained over three rounds than to consistently find clean finishing sequences.