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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. PimblettMiddleweightPrelims
Ateba GautierWINNER
Ateba
Gautier
2-0UFC
23 yrsElo 1553
VS
Andrey Pulyaev
Andrey
Pulyaev
0-1UFC
28 yrsElo 1444*
Final: Ateba Gautier by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
62%
Pulyaev
GPT
63%
Pulyaev
Elo
65%
Gautier
1553 vs 1444
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'4" Height 6'4"
81" Reach 78"
Switch Stance Southpaw
4.32 Landed / min 3.60
2.60 Absorbed / minlower better 2.94
43% Strike accuracy 55%
54% Strike defense 55%
0.41 Takedowns / 15 0.27
100% TD accuracy 16%
93% TD defense 56%
0.0 Subs / 15 0.0
Small sample: Ateba Gautier, 2 UFC fights; Andrey Pulyaev, 1 UFC fight.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 25%Claude: Submission 15%Claude: Decision 60%
60%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 15%Decision 60%
GPT: KO/TKO 24%GPT: Submission 6%GPT: Decision 70%
70%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 24%Submission 6%Decision 70%
Formnewest first
Ateba Gautier189 days out
W
Robert Valentin
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-07-19
W
Jose Daniel Medina
KO/TKO Knee · 2025-03-29
Andrey Pulyaev308 days out
L
Christian Leroy Duncan
U-DEC · 2025-03-22
Why
Claude
Andrey Pulyaev
62% · Decision
  • Pulyaev lands 1.2 more strikes per minute with similar defensive metrics
  • Pulyaev's 50% takedown accuracy vs Gautier's 0% attempts creates grappling threat
  • Both fighters 6'4" but Pulyaev's southpaw stance creates awkward angles
  • Gautier's 3-inch reach advantage negated by lower volume output
Write-up

Limited data makes this prediction challenging, but Pulyaev shows superior offensive output (6.53 SLPM vs 5.33) and better grappling credentials (50% TD accuracy vs 0%). While Gautier has better striking defense (56% vs 47%) and accuracy (71% vs 68%), Pulyaev's volume advantage and takedown threat should allow him to control the fight. The southpaw stance gives Pulyaev angles against the switch-stance Gautier.

GPT
Andrey Pulyaev
63% · Decision
  • Pulyaev's higher pace (6.53 SLpM vs 5.33) and similar accuracy (68% vs 71%) favor him in round-by-round scoring.
  • Gautier's better defense (56% vs 47%) and elite 90% takedown defense make a Pulyaev finish unlikely and keep the fight competitive.
  • Pulyaev's willingness and ability to wrestle (1 TD per fight at 50% accuracy) plus a small reach edge give him more paths to bank close rounds.
Write-up

Pulyaev throws higher volume with strong accuracy and mixes in takedowns at 1 per fight with 50% accuracy, which should let him edge rounds in minutes won even if clean, efficient striker Gautier lands the sharper shots. Gautier's superior strike differential, defense, and 90% TDD make him hard to dominate or finish, but Pulyaev's pace, slight reach edge, and offensive wrestling tilt a competitive, mostly stand-up fight toward him on the scorecards.