Ateba Gautier vs Andrey Pulyaev

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Limited data makes this prediction challenging, but Pulyaev shows superior offensive output (6.53 SLPM vs 5.33) and better grappling credentials (50% TD accuracy vs 0%). While Gautier has better striking defense (56% vs 47%) and accuracy (71% vs 68%), Pulyaev's volume advantage and takedown threat should allow him to control the fight. The southpaw stance gives Pulyaev angles against the switch-stance Gautier.

Pulyaev throws higher volume with strong accuracy and mixes in takedowns at 1 per fight with 50% accuracy, which should let him edge rounds in minutes won even if clean, efficient striker Gautier lands the sharper shots. Gautier's superior strike differential, defense, and 90% TDD make him hard to dominate or finish, but Pulyaev's pace, slight reach edge, and offensive wrestling tilt a competitive, mostly stand-up fight toward him on the scorecards.