Maycee Barber vs Karine Silva

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Silva's elite grappling game (3.59 takedowns per fight, 72% accuracy, 2.2 submissions per fight) presents a nightmare matchup for Barber. While Barber has superior striking volume (4.7 vs 2.67 SLPM), Silva's 67-inch reach advantage and orthodox stance against Barber's switch stance creates openings for level changes. Barber's 53% takedown defense is concerning against Silva's relentless wrestling, and Silva's recent submission victories show she's actively hunting finishes. Barber's recent decision-heavy streak suggests she may struggle to keep Silva at distance for 15 minutes.

Barber's superior striking volume, accuracy, and defensive metrics should allow her to control the fight on the feet, while her takedown defense, though not elite, is likely enough to avoid Silva's primary submission threats. Silva's reliance on grappling is offset by Barber's ability to scramble and mitigate damage. Barber's proven durability and higher level of UFC experience also contribute to her edge.