Nazim Sadykhov vs Fares Ziam

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Ziam's significant physical advantages (6'1" vs 5'10", 75" vs 69" reach) combined with superior defensive striking (66% vs 48%) make him the favorite. While Sadykhov has momentum with 2 recent TKO wins, Ziam's 5-fight win streak includes quality opposition. The southpaw vs orthodox matchup favors Ziam's jab and straight cross. Sadykhov's higher volume (4.94 vs 2.92 SLPM) could be neutralized by Ziam's 18% better strike defense. Their common opponent analysis shows Sadykhov beat McKinney while Ziam lost, but Ziam has significantly improved since then.

Ziam's superior striking defense (66% vs 48%), lower strikes absorbed per minute (1.66 vs 5.72), and significant reach advantage (-6 inch differential) indicate he can control range and avoid Sadykhov's pressure. While Sadykhov has performed better against a common opponent and is more aggressive, Ziam's technical discipline, defensive metrics, and ability to neutralize offense make him a favorite in a likely close, tactical bout.