Marvin Vettori vs Brunno Ferreira

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Vettori's experience edge (28 UFC-level fights vs Ferreira's 5) and superior grappling credentials (1.43 takedowns per fight with 45% accuracy) should control this matchup. While Ferreira has explosive power (4 KO/TKOs in last 5), Vettori's granite chin and 56% strike defense have allowed him to go the distance with elite middleweights. The southpaw vs orthodox dynamic favors Vettori's straight left. Ferreira's poor takedown defense (60%) and low accuracy (16%) suggest he'll struggle with Vettori's grinding style. Vettori's recent losses came against top-5 competition, while Ferreira was finished by Magomedov.

Vettori's durability, higher-level experience, and superior grappling defense should allow him to neutralize Ferreira's explosive but less proven striking. Ferreira's higher striking accuracy and finish rate are notable, but Vettori's volume, consistency, and ability to control the pace favor him over three rounds.