Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Taira's grappling heavy approach (2.73 takedowns, 1.6 submissions per fight) exploits Moreno's declining form and defensive vulnerabilities. Moreno has lost 3 of his last 5, showing decreased durability and wrestling defense (63% TDD). Taira's superior striking accuracy (60% vs 44%) and submission threat create a dual-threat attack. While both lost to Royval, Taira showed better defensive metrics and is 7 years younger with significant upside. The weight cut history shows Taira's consistency at flyweight while Moreno has struggled.

Moreno's superior defensive metrics, higher striking volume, and proven experience against elite competition give him an edge over the less-tested Taira. Although Taira is a more dangerous submission threat, Moreno's 63% takedown defense and strong scrambling ability should limit Taira's grappling success over three rounds.