Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Antonio Trocoli

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Abdul-Malik holds overwhelming striking advantages with 6.61 SLPM vs Trocoli's anemic 1.28 output. Trocoli's abysmal 24% striking defense combined with two consecutive first-round KO losses creates a perfect storm for another early finish. Despite Trocoli's 3-inch height advantage, his -4.82 striking differential and recent knockout losses to lesser competition make him extremely vulnerable. Abdul-Malik's 75% TDD neutralizes Trocoli's wrestling attempts (12% accuracy), forcing a striking exchange where Trocoli has proven defensively porous.

Abdul-Malik's high striking output (6.61 SLpM) and strong accuracy (54%) present a significant advantage over Trocoli, whose striking defense is extremely low (24%) and who absorbs a high volume of strikes (6.1 SApM). Trocoli's grappling output is limited, with low takedown accuracy (12%) and no evidence of control time, while Abdul-Malik's takedown defense (75%) should be sufficient to keep the fight standing. This suggests Abdul-Malik will consistently outland Trocoli over three rounds.