- Rodrigues lands +0.83 more strikes than he absorbs vs Kopylov's -0.34 differential
- 100% takedown defense for Rodrigues will force Kopylov into unfavorable striking exchanges
- Rodrigues' 80% win rate and current 4-fight win streak vs Kopylov coming off submission loss
- 3-inch height advantage allows Rodrigues to control range against the southpaw Kopylov
Write-up
Rodrigues' superior striking volume (5.52 vs 4.74 SLPM), better accuracy (56% vs 50%), and positive striking differential (+0.83 vs -0.34) give him clear advantages in the standup. His 100% takedown defense will nullify Kopylov's wrestling attempts. Rodrigues is on a 4-fight win streak showing excellent form, while Kopylov's recent submission loss to Fluffy Hernandez exposed grappling vulnerabilities. The 3-inch height advantage for Rodrigues adds another dimension.
- Higher striking accuracy and volume for Rodrigues (56% accuracy, 5.52 SLpM)
- Perfect 100% takedown defense and high takedown output
- Positive striking differential (+0.83) vs. Kopylov's negative (-0.34)
Write-up
Rodrigues holds a statistical edge in striking accuracy, volume, and striking differential, while also boasting superior grappling metrics and an impeccable takedown defense. Kopylov is hittable and has a negative strike differential, making him vulnerable to Rodrigues's power and output. Given Rodrigues's ability to mix in takedowns and control exchanges, he is likely to find a finish if the fight becomes a firefight.