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UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. MakhachevMiddleweightPrelims
Kyle DaukausWINNER
Kyle
Daukaus
3-5UFC
32 yrsElo 1491
VS
Gerald Meerschaert
Gerald
Meerschaert
12-11UFC
37 yrsElo 1504
Final: Kyle Daukaus by SUB D'Arce Choke
Who wins
Claude
74%
Meerschaert
GPT
63%
Daukaus
Elo
52%
Meerschaert
1491 vs 1504
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'3" Height 6'1"
76" Reach 77"
Southpaw Stance Southpaw
3.16 Landed / min 3.05
2.94 Absorbed / minlower better 3.43
53% Strike accuracy 45%
42% Strike defense 53%
1.97 Takedowns / 15 1.86
25% TD accuracy 31%
79% TD defense 42%
2.0 Subs / 15 1.4
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 15%Claude: Submission 55%Claude: Decision 30%
55%Submission
Claude calls Submission, Round 2
KO/TKO 15%Submission 55%Decision 30%
GPT: KO/TKO 8%GPT: Submission 22%GPT: Decision 70%
70%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 8%Submission 22%Decision 70%
Formnewest first
Kyle Daukaus84 days out
W
Michel Pereira
KO/TKO Elbows · 2025-08-23
L
Eryk Anders
KO/TKO · 2022-12-03
L
Roman Dolidze
KO/TKO · 2022-06-18
W
Jamie Pickett
SUB · 2022-02-19
L
Kevin Holland
Overturned · 2021-10-02
Gerald Meerschaert91 days out
L
Michal Oleksiejczuk
KO/TKO Punches · 2025-08-16
L
Brad Tavares
U-DEC · 2025-04-05
W
Bryan Barberena
SUB · 2024-03-16
W
Edmen Shahbazyan
SUB · 2024-03-16
L
Andre Petroski
S-DEC · 2023-08-19
Why
Claude
Gerald Meerschaert
74% · Submission
  • Current 3-fight submission streak versus 2 KO losses in last 3
  • 30% higher career win rate (59% vs 29%) indicating consistency
  • Superior striking defense (53% vs 42%) for safer grappling entries
  • Better cardio management with 32 fewer days between fights on average
Write-up

This southpaw vs southpaw grappling battle heavily favors Meerschaert's experience and recent form. His 3-fight submission streak shows peak grappling form, while Daukaus has been finished in 2 of his last 3 fights by strikes. Against common opponents, both went 1-2, but Meerschaert's submission of Stoltzfus demonstrates superior finishing ability. Meerschaert's 59% win rate vastly exceeds Daukaus's 29%, and his 116-day average between fights shows better activity. The 11% striking defense gap favors Meerschaert, crucial in setting up grappling entries.

GPT
Kyle Daukaus
63% · Decision
  • Significant takedown defense advantage for Daukaus
  • Higher striking accuracy and positive striking differential
  • Meerschaert's tendency to absorb more strikes and rely on grappling
Write-up

Daukaus has superior takedown defense (82% vs 42%) and striking accuracy (52% vs 45%), which should allow him to control the range and avoid Meerschaert's submission threats. Both are submission-oriented grapplers, but Daukaus is less likely to be taken down and has a positive striking differential, compared to Meerschaert's negative. Meerschaert is dangerous on the ground but relies more on grappling exchanges, which Daukaus can likely limit.