- 14x better striking differential (+5.73 vs +0.40) indicating output dominance
- Complete grappling advantage with 2.48 TD/fight vs 0 attempts
- 10% better striking defense (64% vs 54%) limiting damage
- Proven UFC success (2-0) versus limited high-level experience
Write-up
Haddon's massive striking differential advantage (+5.73 vs +0.40) and superior defensive metrics (64% vs 54% striking defense) indicate he'll dominate the standup. His 2.48 takedowns per fight against Wellmaker's 0 attempts shows a clear grappling path to victory. Haddon's perfect 2-0 UFC record demonstrates momentum, while Wellmaker's limited UFC data suggests inexperience at this level. The switch stance could create timing issues for Haddon initially, but his 10% defensive advantage should mitigate this.
- Superior strike differential for Haddon
- Grappling and submission threat from Haddon
- Wellmaker's high strikes absorbed per minute
Write-up
Haddon demonstrates significantly superior strike differential (+5.73 vs +0.40), absorbs much less damage per minute (3.47 vs 7.65 SApM), and shows a strong grappling threat (2.48 takedowns per fight, 0.8 subs per fight). Wellmaker relies heavily on high-volume, accurate striking, but his defensive metrics and lack of grappling make him highly vulnerable to Haddon's more balanced, defensively sound approach.