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UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. MakhachevBantamweightPrelims
Malcolm Wellmaker
Malcolm
Wellmaker
2-0UFC
31 yrsElo 1517*
VS
Cody Haddon
Cody
Haddon
1-0UFC
27 yrsElo 1543*
Who wins
Claude
72%
Haddon
GPT
77%
Haddon
Elo
54%
Haddon
1517 vs 1543
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'10" Height 5'7"
71" Reach 69"
Switch Stance Orthodox
8.05 Landed / min 8.84
7.65 Absorbed / minlower better 2.72
66% Strike accuracy 56%
54% Strike defense 62%
0.00 Takedowns / 15 2.96
0% TD accuracy 35%
100% TD defense 83%
0.0 Subs / 15 0.6
Small sample: Malcolm Wellmaker, 2 UFC fights; Cody Haddon, 1 UFC fight.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 20%Claude: Submission 15%Claude: Decision 65%
65%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 20%Submission 15%Decision 65%
GPT: KO/TKO 14%GPT: Submission 18%GPT: Decision 68%
68%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 14%Submission 18%Decision 68%
Formnewest first
Malcolm Wellmaker154 days out
W
Kris Moutinho
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-06-14
W
Cameron Saaiman
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-04-26
Cody Haddon567 days out
W
Dan Argueta
U-DEC · 2024-04-27
Why
Claude
Cody Haddon
72% · Decision
  • 14x better striking differential (+5.73 vs +0.40) indicating output dominance
  • Complete grappling advantage with 2.48 TD/fight vs 0 attempts
  • 10% better striking defense (64% vs 54%) limiting damage
  • Proven UFC success (2-0) versus limited high-level experience
Write-up

Haddon's massive striking differential advantage (+5.73 vs +0.40) and superior defensive metrics (64% vs 54% striking defense) indicate he'll dominate the standup. His 2.48 takedowns per fight against Wellmaker's 0 attempts shows a clear grappling path to victory. Haddon's perfect 2-0 UFC record demonstrates momentum, while Wellmaker's limited UFC data suggests inexperience at this level. The switch stance could create timing issues for Haddon initially, but his 10% defensive advantage should mitigate this.

GPT
Cody Haddon
77% · Decision
  • Superior strike differential for Haddon
  • Grappling and submission threat from Haddon
  • Wellmaker's high strikes absorbed per minute
Write-up

Haddon demonstrates significantly superior strike differential (+5.73 vs +0.40), absorbs much less damage per minute (3.47 vs 7.65 SApM), and shows a strong grappling threat (2.48 takedowns per fight, 0.8 subs per fight). Wellmaker relies heavily on high-volume, accurate striking, but his defensive metrics and lack of grappling make him highly vulnerable to Haddon's more balanced, defensively sound approach.