Malcolm Wellmaker vs Cody Haddon

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Haddon's massive striking differential advantage (+5.73 vs +0.40) and superior defensive metrics (64% vs 54% striking defense) indicate he'll dominate the standup. His 2.48 takedowns per fight against Wellmaker's 0 attempts shows a clear grappling path to victory. Haddon's perfect 2-0 UFC record demonstrates momentum, while Wellmaker's limited UFC data suggests inexperience at this level. The switch stance could create timing issues for Haddon initially, but his 10% defensive advantage should mitigate this.

Haddon demonstrates significantly superior strike differential (+5.73 vs +0.40), absorbs much less damage per minute (3.47 vs 7.65 SApM), and shows a strong grappling threat (2.48 takedowns per fight, 0.8 subs per fight). Wellmaker relies heavily on high-volume, accurate striking, but his defensive metrics and lack of grappling make him highly vulnerable to Haddon's more balanced, defensively sound approach.