Bo Nickal vs Rodolfo Vieira

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

While both are elite grapplers, Nickal's striking defense (70%) significantly outclasses Vieira's (49%), and his 3-inch reach advantage will be crucial. Vieira's 30% takedown accuracy is concerning against Nickal's wrestling pedigree. The community 50-50 split undervalues Nickal's superior athleticism and more diverse skillset. Nickal's 7.5 submissions per 15 minutes shows finishing urgency, while his recent KO win demonstrates evolving striking.

Nickal's elite wrestling, control, and submission output (7.5 subs per fight) are likely to neutralize Vieira's BJJ. Nickal's takedown volume and grappling athleticism should allow him to dictate positions. Vieira's striking defense (49%) and negative strike differential (-1.41) make him vulnerable if he cannot win scrambles. Vieira is dangerous on the mat but has struggled against strong wrestlers with submission awareness.