Beneil Dariush vs Benoit Saint Denis

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Dariush's superior defensive metrics (57% striking defense vs BSD's 41%) and exceptional takedown defense (80% vs BSD's 68%) will neutralize Saint Denis' aggressive volume approach. BSD's recent 3-fight KO loss streak shows significant durability issues, while Dariush's only recent losses came against elite competition (Oliveira, Tsarukyan). Dariush's southpaw stance and experience advantage will allow him to weather early storms and implement a measured gameplan.

Saint Denis brings high offensive output in both striking and grappling, with a notable edge in submission attempts and takedown activity. Dariush has superior defense and experience, but his recent durability issues and Saint Denis's relentless pace favor the Frenchman's finishing upside, especially on the mat.