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Baisangur Susurkaev vs Eric McConico

Middleweight · Prelims · UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev

FINAL: Baisangur Susurkaev by KO/TKO Punch
Baisangur Susurkaev
Baisangur Susurkaev
Age 24 · Elo 1567*
W
91 days since last fight
vs
Eric McConico
Eric McConico
Age 35 · Elo 1477
WL
98 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Baisangur SusurkaevEric McConico
Claude Claude: Baisangur Susurkaev 65% Claude: Eric McConico 35% 65% 35% GPT GPT: Baisangur Susurkaev 77% GPT: Eric McConico 23% 77% 23% Elo Elo: Baisangur Susurkaev 63% Elo: Eric McConico 37% 63% 37%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Baisangur SusurkaevEric McConico
Strikes landed / min Baisangur Susurkaev Strikes landed / min: 3.26 3.26 Eric McConico Strikes landed / min: 2.92 2.92 Strikes absorbed / min Baisangur Susurkaev Strikes absorbed / min: 2.28 2.28 Eric McConico Strikes absorbed / min: 3.05 3.05 Striking accuracy Baisangur Susurkaev Striking accuracy: 58% 58% Eric McConico Striking accuracy: 46% 46% Striking defense Baisangur Susurkaev Striking defense: 46% 46% Eric McConico Striking defense: 45% 45% Takedowns / 15 min Baisangur Susurkaev Takedowns / 15 min: no data - Eric McConico Takedowns / 15 min: 0.64 0.64 Takedown defense Baisangur Susurkaev Takedown defense: 100% 100% Eric McConico Takedown defense: 68% 68%

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 45% 45% Claude: Submission 10% 10% Claude: Decision 45% 45%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 18% 18% GPT: Submission 7% GPT: Decision 75% 75%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Baisangur Susurkaev by KO/TKO, 65% confidence

While McConico has no UFC stats available, Susurkaev's profile shows promise with 3.26 SLPM and 58% accuracy. The orthodox vs southpaw matchup typically favors the orthodox fighter's straight right hand. Susurkaev's 100% takedown defense and positive striking differential (+0.98) suggest solid fundamentals. McConico being 34 years old making his UFC debut against a 24-year-old prospect indicates the matchmakers see Susurkaev as the future talent.

GPT
Baisangur Susurkaev by Decision, 77% confidence

Baisangur Susurkaev displays measurable UFC-level output with above-average striking accuracy (58%) and a positive strike differential (+0.98). His defensive metrics are average, but he has demonstrated perfect takedown defense in limited data. Eric McConico has no recorded UFC stats, indicating inexperience at this level or a data gap, and offers no evidence of effective striking or grappling. Susurkaev's efficiency and defensive reliability should allow him to control the fight, but a finish is less likely due to his low overall finish rate.