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Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Delgado

Featherweight · Prelims · UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane

FINAL: Nathaniel Wood by U-DEC
Nathaniel Wood
Nathaniel Wood
Age 32 · Elo 1586
WWLWW
217 days since last fight
vs
Jose Delgado
Jose Delgado
Age 27 · Elo 1513*
WW
119 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Nathaniel WoodJose Delgado
Claude Claude: Nathaniel Wood 68% Claude: Jose Delgado 32% 68% 32% GPT GPT: Nathaniel Wood 28% GPT: Jose Delgado 72% 28% 72% Elo Elo: Nathaniel Wood 60% Elo: Jose Delgado 40% 60% 40%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Nathaniel WoodJose Delgado
Strikes landed / min Nathaniel Wood Strikes landed / min: 5.64 5.64 Jose Delgado Strikes landed / min: 6.23 6.23 Strikes absorbed / min Nathaniel Wood Strikes absorbed / min: 4.25 4.25 Jose Delgado Strikes absorbed / min: 4.21 4.21 Striking accuracy Nathaniel Wood Striking accuracy: 51% 51% Jose Delgado Striking accuracy: 44% 44% Striking defense Nathaniel Wood Striking defense: 54% 54% Jose Delgado Striking defense: 48% 48% Takedowns / 15 min Nathaniel Wood Takedowns / 15 min: 1.35 1.35 Jose Delgado Takedowns / 15 min: 7.01 7.01 Takedown defense Nathaniel Wood Takedown defense: 73% 73% Jose Delgado Takedown defense: 100% 100% Sub attempts / 15 min Nathaniel Wood Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.5 0.5 Jose Delgado Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 12% 12% Claude: Submission 18% 18% Claude: Decision 70% 70%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 19% 19% GPT: Submission 7% GPT: Decision 74% 74%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Nathaniel Wood by Decision, 68% confidence

Wood brings significant UFC experience with a 75% win rate and consistent decision victories. His 51% striking accuracy and 56% defense show solid fundamentals. Delgado's 7.01 takedowns per fight is concerning, but Wood's 72% takedown defense and proven ability to win decisions suggests he can neutralize the grappling threat. Wood's 4-1 record in his last 5 fights demonstrates consistency at the UFC level that Delgado hasn't proven.

GPT
Jose Delgado by Decision, 72% confidence

Delgado's elite takedown output (7.01 per fight) and 75% accuracy, paired with a perfect 100% takedown defense, suggest he can dictate where the fight takes place. While Wood is a slick, high-volume striker with solid defensive stats, Delgado's ability to mix high-paced striking (6.23 SLpM) with relentless wrestling likely neutralizes Wood's advantages. Wood's submission threat is moderate but not enough to overcome Delgado's ground control and durability.