Jaqueline Amorim vs Mizuki

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Amorim's elite submission game (5.3 subs per fight) presents an overwhelming threat to Mizuki, who has shown vulnerability on the ground. Amorim is on a 4-fight win streak with 3 recent submissions, demonstrating peak form and confidence. While Mizuki has excellent takedown defense (85%), Amorim only needs one successful takedown to implement her dominant ground game. Mizuki's higher striking volume (4.56 vs 3.05 SLPM) won't matter if she's defending submissions.

Amorim's elite submission game (5.3 subs per fight) and strong grappling advantage stand out against Mizuki, whose takedown defense is good but has shown vulnerability when pressured by high-level grapplers. While Mizuki possesses higher striking volume, her negative strike differential and lower defensive metrics leave her open to takedowns and positional advances. Amorim's superior submission threat and striking defense give her clear paths to victory if she can initiate grappling exchanges.