Ikram Aliskerov vs JunYong Park

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Park's superior defensive metrics (54% striking defense vs 36%) and better recent form (4-1 vs 2-3) make him the favorite. Aliskerov's poor striking defense leaves him vulnerable to Park's measured approach. Park's 75% win rate and consistent decision victories show he can control fights effectively. The orthodox vs southpaw matchup favors Park's defensive style.

Aliskerov holds a significant edge in striking accuracy and volume, with a 60% accuracy and a high 7.03 SLpM, indicating potent offensive output. While his defensive metrics are lacking, Park's lower output and less dynamic finishing ability make it unlikely he'll capitalize offensively. Aliskerov's physical advantages in height and reach, combined with greater finishing instincts and power, favor him in exchanges. Park's superior defensive stats and grappling efficiency make him durable, but Aliskerov's explosiveness and aggression tilt the bout in his favor, with a higher probability of an early stoppage.