- Almeida averages 6.85 takedowns per fight with 2.6 submission attempts - elite grappling threat
- Common opponent analysis: Almeida submitted both Romanov and Rozenstruik while Volkov needed KO/TKOs
- Volkov's 73% TDD is respectable but hasn't faced a grappler of Almeida's caliber recently
- Almeida's only loss came via KO to Curtis Blaydes - Volkov lacks similar one-punch power
Write-up
Almeida's elite grappling (6.85 TD/15min, 59% accuracy) poses severe problems for Volkov's 73% TDD. Volkov's 4-inch height advantage becomes a liability in grappling exchanges. Almeida's 2.6 submissions per fight and recent submission victories over Romanov and Rozenstruik demonstrate his ability to finish elite heavyweights. Volkov's striking volume (5.13 SLPM) won't have time to accumulate damage before Almeida secures a takedown.
- Almeida's takedown and submission superiority
- Volkov's moderate takedown defense historically tested
- Almeida's success against shared opponents by finish
Write-up
Almeida's elite grappling and takedown volume (6.85 per fight) present a stylistic challenge for Volkov, whose takedown defense (73%) is solid but has been exploited by strong wrestlers. Almeida's submission average (2.6 per fight) and finishing ability on the ground are significantly higher, while Volkov is less dangerous off his back. Volkov's striking advantage and experience give him a path to victory if he can maintain distance, but Almeida's recent performances against common opponents and his relentless ground attack tip the matchup in his favor.