Fight Genie logo Fight Genie
Back
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. GaneLight HeavyweightPrelims
Aleksandar Rakic
Aleksandar
Rakic
6-3UFC
33 yrsElo 1546
VS
Azamat MurzakanovWINNER
Azamat
Murzakanov
5-1UFC
36 yrsElo 1565
Final: Azamat Murzakanov by KO/TKO Punch
Who wins
Claude
62%
Murzakanov
GPT
68%
Rakic
Elo
53%
Murzakanov
1546 vs 1565
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'4" Height 5'10"
78" Reach 71"
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
4.20 Landed / min 4.40
2.78 Absorbed / minlower better 3.20
50% Strike accuracy 56%
54% Strike defense 56%
0.57 Takedowns / 15 0.68
21% TD accuracy 20%
86% TD defense 88%
0.1 Subs / 15 0.2
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 48%Claude: Submission 8%Claude: Decision 44%
48%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 48%Submission 8%Decision 44%
GPT: KO/TKO 18%GPT: Submission 2%GPT: Decision 80%
80%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 18%Submission 2%Decision 80%
Formnewest first
Aleksandar Rakic560 days out
L
Jiri Prochazka
KO/TKO · 2024-04-13
L
Jan Blachowicz
KO/TKO · 2022-05-14
W
Thiago Santos
U-DEC · 2021-03-06
W
Anthony Smith
U-DEC · 2020-08-29
L
Volkan Oezdemir
S-DEC · 2019-12-21
Azamat Murzakanov140 days out
W
Brendson Ribeiro
KO/TKO Punches · 2025-06-07
L
Nikita Krylov
· 2024-11-16
W
Alonzo Menifield
KO/TKO · 2024-02-24
W
Dustin Jacoby
U-DEC · 2023-04-15
W
Devin Clark
KO/TKO · 2022-08-13
Why
Claude
Azamat Murzakanov
62% · KO/TKO
  • Rakic's chin concerns - 2 consecutive KO/TKO losses in last 3 fights
  • Murzakanov's 11% striking defense advantage and southpaw stance creating problems
  • Significant reach disadvantage for Murzakanov (71" vs 78") but he's adapted well in past fights
  • Rakic's 700-day layoff between recent fights suggests ring rust and recovery issues
Write-up

Murzakanov's superior striking defense (61% vs 50%) and recent knockout power give him the edge. Rakic has lost his last two fights by KO/TKO and shows vulnerability to strikes. The southpaw stance creates awkward angles for Rakic's orthodox approach, and Murzakanov's 4-1 record with 3 KO/TKO finishes demonstrates consistent finishing ability.

GPT
Aleksandar Rakic
68% · Decision
  • Significant reach advantage for Rakic
  • Superior takedown defense and defensive striking
  • Experience against higher-level opponents
Write-up

Rakic holds a significant reach advantage (7 inches) and strong takedown defense (85%) which will help him control the range against Murzakanov. While Murzakanov is more accurate and lands at a higher rate, Rakic's defensive fundamentals, physical size, and experience against elite competition should allow him to mitigate Murzakanov's bursts and edge out rounds in a competitive, mostly striking-based contest.