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UFC 321: Aspinall vs. GaneLightweightPrelims
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
Abdul-Kareem
Al-Selwady
0-1UFC
30 yrsElo 1474*
VS
Matheus Camilo
Matheus
Camilo
0-1UFC
24 yrsElo 1457*
Who wins
Claude
62%
Al-Selwady
GPT
74%
Al-Selwady
Elo
52%
Al-Selwady
1474 vs 1457
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'8" Height n/a
69" Reach n/a
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
4.61 Landed / min n/a
3.43 Absorbed / minlower better n/a
41% Strike accuracy 0%
60% Strike defense 0%
1.47 Takedowns / 15 n/a
23% TD accuracy 0%
54% TD defense 0%
0.0 Subs / 15 n/a
Small sample: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady, 1 UFC fight; Matheus Camilo, 1 UFC fight.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 15%Claude: Submission 20%Claude: Decision 65%
65%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 15%Submission 20%Decision 65%
GPT: KO/TKO 17%GPT: Submission 13%GPT: Decision 70%
70%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 17%Submission 13%Decision 70%
Formnewest first
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady601 days out
L
Loik Radzhabov
KO/TKO · 2024-03-02
Matheus Camilo161 days out
L
Gabe Green
SUB Rear Naked Choke · 2025-05-17
Why
Claude
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
62% · Decision
  • Al-Selwady averages 2.32 takedowns per fight with proven UFC grappling experience
  • Camilo has zero UFC fights and no recorded statistics to analyze
  • Al-Selwady's recent KO loss may make him more cautious and wrestling-focused
  • Experience differential in UFC competition heavily favors Al-Selwady
Write-up

Al-Selwady enters with UFC experience despite his recent KO loss, while Camilo makes his debut with no recorded UFC stats. Al-Selwady's 2.32 takedowns per fight and 30% accuracy suggests a wrestling-heavy approach against the unproven Camilo. The 34% striking accuracy is concerning, but Camilo's complete lack of UFC data makes him a significant unknown. Al-Selwady's experience edge and proven ability to implement a grappling gameplan should carry him through.

GPT
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
74% · Decision
  • Substantial statistical advantage in striking and wrestling for Al-Selwady
  • Camilo's lack of UFC data and proven effectiveness
  • Al-Selwady's ability to mix striking volume with takedowns
Write-up

Al-Selwady displays significantly superior statistical output in both striking and grappling compared to Camilo, whose UFC-level data is currently unavailable or negligible. Al-Selwady's moderate striking volume, solid defensive stats, and active takedown attempts provide him with clear paths to outpoint Camilo over three rounds. Camilo's lack of UFC data raises questions about his ability to compete at this level, and Al-Selwady's wrestling could be decisive given Camilo's unproven takedown defense.