Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Matheus Camilo
Lightweight · Prelims · UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Al-Selwady enters with UFC experience despite his recent KO loss, while Camilo makes his debut with no recorded UFC stats. Al-Selwady's 2.32 takedowns per fight and 30% accuracy suggests a wrestling-heavy approach against the unproven Camilo. The 34% striking accuracy is concerning, but Camilo's complete lack of UFC data makes him a significant unknown. Al-Selwady's experience edge and proven ability to implement a grappling gameplan should carry him through.
Al-Selwady displays significantly superior statistical output in both striking and grappling compared to Camilo, whose UFC-level data is currently unavailable or negligible. Al-Selwady's moderate striking volume, solid defensive stats, and active takedown attempts provide him with clear paths to outpoint Camilo over three rounds. Camilo's lack of UFC data raises questions about his ability to compete at this level, and Al-Selwady's wrestling could be decisive given Camilo's unproven takedown defense.