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UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2WelterweightPrelims
Punahele SorianoWINNER
Punahele
Soriano
5-4UFC
32 yrsElo 1533
VS
Nikolay Veretennikov
Nikolay
Veretennikov
1-2UFC
35 yrsElo 1488
Final: Punahele Soriano by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
72%
Soriano
GPT
62%
Soriano
Elo
56%
Soriano
1533 vs 1488
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'11" Height 6'1"
72" Reach 75"
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
4.42 Landed / min 3.40
3.31 Absorbed / minlower better 3.33
53% Strike accuracy 59%
47% Strike defense 54%
1.97 Takedowns / 15 n/a
51% TD accuracy 0%
48% TD defense 60%
0.1 Subs / 15 n/a
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 45%Claude: Submission 10%Claude: Decision 45%
45%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 45%Submission 10%Decision 45%
GPT: KO/TKO 54%GPT: Submission 6%GPT: Decision 40%
54%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO
KO/TKO 54%Submission 6%Decision 40%
Formnewest first
Punahele Soriano265 days out
W
Uros Medic
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-01-11
W
Miguel Baeza
U-DEC · 2024-01-06
L
Dustin Stoltzfus
SUB · 2023-12-02
L
Roman Kopylov
KO/TKO · 2023-01-14
W
Dalcha Lungiambula
KO/TKO · 2022-07-16
Nikolay Veretennikov77 days out
W
Francisco Prado
S-DEC · 2025-07-19
L
Austin Vanderford
KO/TKO Punches · 2025-02-22
L
Danny Barlow
S-DEC · 2024-03-02
Why
Claude
Punahele Soriano
72% · KO/TKO
  • Soriano's 44% higher striking volume (4.89 vs 3.4 SLPM) creates pressure
  • Veretennikov on 2-fight skid shows vulnerability to sustained offense
  • Soriano's wrestling threat (1.48 TDAvg) opens up striking opportunities
  • Recent form favors Soriano (2-1 last 3) vs Veretennikov (0-2)
Write-up

Soriano holds significant advantages in multiple areas despite giving up 2 inches in height and 3 inches in reach. His 4.89 SLPM vastly outpaces Veretennikov's 3.4, while maintaining better striking accuracy (53% vs 59%). Crucially, Soriano has shown finishing ability with a recent KO win and brings takedown threats (1.48 TDAvg at 56% accuracy) against Veretennikov's 60% TDD. Veretennikov is on a two-fight losing streak via decision, suggesting declining durability. Soriano's pressure and volume should overwhelm the Russian striker.

GPT
Punahele Soriano
62% · KO/TKO
  • Soriano's striking volume and power
  • Veretennikov's higher striking accuracy but lower output
  • Veretennikov's lack of grappling offense
Write-up

Soriano's higher striking volume, superior power, and aggressive pace could break through Veretennikov's defense. While Veretennikov is more accurate and defensively sound, he lacks offensive output and finishing threat, and his takedown defense, though above average, may not deter Soriano's occasional wrestling. Soriano's low takedown defense is less relevant as Veretennikov does not attempt takedowns.