Punahele Soriano vs Nikolay Veretennikov

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Soriano holds significant advantages in multiple areas despite giving up 2 inches in height and 3 inches in reach. His 4.89 SLPM vastly outpaces Veretennikov's 3.4, while maintaining better striking accuracy (53% vs 59%). Crucially, Soriano has shown finishing ability with a recent KO win and brings takedown threats (1.48 TDAvg at 56% accuracy) against Veretennikov's 60% TDD. Veretennikov is on a two-fight losing streak via decision, suggesting declining durability. Soriano's pressure and volume should overwhelm the Russian striker.

Soriano's higher striking volume, superior power, and aggressive pace could break through Veretennikov's defense. While Veretennikov is more accurate and defensively sound, he lacks offensive output and finishing threat, and his takedown defense, though above average, may not deter Soriano's occasional wrestling. Soriano's low takedown defense is less relevant as Veretennikov does not attempt takedowns.