Macy Chiasson vs Yana Santos

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Chiasson's recent finishing streak (2 KO/TKOs, 1 submission in last 3 wins) shows improved killer instinct. Her 5-inch height and 4-inch reach advantages are significant at 135 pounds. While Santos has better striking volume (4.42 vs 3.77 SLPM), Chiasson's superior grappling (2.37 takedowns vs 0.97) and 70% takedown defense should control positioning. Common opponent analysis favors Santos, but Chiasson's recent improvements suggest she's evolved past those performances.

Chiasson's superior takedown offense (2.37 TD avg, 38% accuracy) and strong takedown defense (70%) should allow her to dictate where the fight takes place. While Santos is the more accurate and higher-volume striker, her takedown defense is a significant liability (42%), making her susceptible to Chiasson's grappling. Both fighters have low finishing rates, making a decision likely.