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WINNER
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2FeatherweightMain card
Josh
Emmett
10-5UFC
VS
Youssef
Zalal
7-4UFC
Final: Youssef Zalal by SUB Armbar
Who wins
Emmett winsevenZalal wins
Claude 68% Zalal
GPT 66% Zalal
Elo 54% Emmett
Claude
68%
Zalal
GPT
66%
Zalal
Elo
54%
Emmett
1579 vs 1551
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'6"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
4.04
Landed / min
2.87
4.61
Absorbed / minlower better
1.73
36%
Strike accuracy
49%
61%
Strike defense
66%
0.91
Takedowns / 15
2.33
37%
TD accuracy
34%
46%
TD defense
60%
0.1
Subs / 15
1.4
How it ends
50%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 15%Submission 35%Decision 50%
66%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 16%Submission 18%Decision 66%
Formnewest first
Josh Emmett182 days out
L
Lerone Murphy
U-DEC · 2025-04-05
W
Bryce Mitchell
KO/TKO · 2023-12-16
L
Ilia Topuria
U-DEC · 2023-06-24
L
Yair Rodriguez
SUB · 2023-02-11
W
Calvin Kattar
S-DEC · 2022-06-18
Youssef Zalal230 days out
W
Calvin Kattar
U-DEC · 2025-02-15
L
win
· 2024-11-02
W
Billy Quarantillo
SUB · 2024-03-23
W
Jarno Errens
SUB · 2024-03-02
W
Da'Mon Blackshear
M-DEC · 2022-08-13
Why
Claude
Youssef Zalal
68% · Decision
- Zalal averages 2.33 takedowns per fight with 34% accuracy vs Emmett's poor 46% TD defense
- Age factor: Emmett at 39 vs Zalal at 28, with Emmett showing decline in recent performances
- Zalal's 1.4 submissions per fight exploit Emmett's weak ground game (0.1 sub attempts)
- Zalal's superior striking defense (66% vs 61%) neutralizes Emmett's power advantage
Write-up
Zalal's superior grappling (2.33 TD/fight vs 0.91, 1.4 sub/fight vs 0.1) and defensive striking (66% vs 61%) create a nightmare matchup for the aging Emmett. At 39, Emmett's explosiveness has diminished, and his recent submission loss to Bryce Mitchell exposed his ground game vulnerabilities. Zalal's 3 submission wins in his last 4 fights demonstrate elite finishing ability on the mat.
GPT
Youssef Zalal
66% · Decision
- Zalal's striking defense (66%) and accuracy advantage (49% vs 36%)
- High grappling output (2.33 takedowns per fight) and submission threat (1.4 subs per fight)
- Emmett's negative strike differential and low takedown defense (46%)
Write-up
Zalal's superior striking accuracy, higher striking defense, and substantial grappling output are likely to neutralize Emmett's power. Emmett's declining defensive metrics and low takedown defense present openings for Zalal to implement a mixed-attack gameplan, control the tempo, and accumulate points over three rounds.