Light Heavyweight · Main card · UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
FINAL: Jiri Prochazka by KO/TKO Punches
Jiri Prochazka
Age 32 · Elo 1567
WWLLW
258 days since last fight
vs
Khalil Rountree Jr.
Age 35 · Elo 1553
WLWWW
105 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Jiri ProchazkaKhalil Rountree Jr.
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Jiri ProchazkaKhalil Rountree Jr.
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Claude
Jiri Prochazka by KO/TKO, 70% confidence
Prochazka's significant advantages in volume (5.38 vs 3.73 SLPM), accuracy (55% vs 38%), and reach (4 inches) create a striking mismatch. His 60% takedown accuracy provides a grappling threat that Rountree (0 takedowns landed in UFC) cannot match. Both lost to Pereira by KO, but Prochazka's overall skill set and recent win over Rakic show superior recovery.
GPT
Jiri Prochazka by KO/TKO, 71% confidence
Prochazka's higher striking volume (5.38 SLPM vs 3.73), superior striking accuracy (55% vs 38%), and greater finishing instincts give him an edge in a high-paced striking battle. While both fighters are defensively vulnerable, Prochazka's reach advantage (+4 inches) and experience at a higher level suggest he is more likely to land decisive strikes. Rountree's low grappling threat and susceptibility to pressure further favor Prochazka's aggressive style.