Patchy Mix vs Jakub Wiklacz
Bantamweight · Prelims · UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
This UFC debut matchup lacks statistical data, but Mix comes from Bellator as their former bantamweight champion with strong wrestling credentials. Wiklacz is making his promotional debut with limited available data. Mix's southpaw stance creates awkward angles against Wiklacz's orthodox stance. Given Mix's championship pedigree and wrestling background typical of Bellator champions, he should control positioning and grind out a decision.
Patchy Mix is widely recognized as one of the top bantamweight grapplers, with a proven submission game at the highest levels of MMA. Despite limited statistical data here, Mix's recent run in Bellator showcased elite back-taking, control, and finishing instincts. Wiklacz is a highly skilled and well-rounded Polish bantamweight with strong grappling of his own, but historically has not faced Mix's level of opposition or displayed the same submission finishing prowess. Stylistically, Mix's southpaw stance, relentless grappling pressure, and ability to chain submissions edge this matchup.