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Chris Gutierrez vs Farid Basharat

Bantamweight · Prelims · UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2

FINAL: Farid Basharat by U-DEC
Chris Gutierrez
Chris Gutierrez
Age 34 · Elo 1598
WWLWL
161 days since last fight
vs
Farid Basharat
Farid Basharat
Age 28 · Elo 1604
WWW
629 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Chris GutierrezFarid Basharat
Claude Claude: Chris Gutierrez 28% Claude: Farid Basharat 72% 28% 72% GPT GPT: Chris Gutierrez 26% GPT: Farid Basharat 74% 26% 74% Elo Elo: Chris Gutierrez 49% Elo: Farid Basharat 51% 49% 51%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Chris GutierrezFarid Basharat
Strikes landed / min Chris Gutierrez Strikes landed / min: 4.40 4.40 Farid Basharat Strikes landed / min: 4.47 4.47 Strikes absorbed / min Chris Gutierrez Strikes absorbed / min: 2.65 2.65 Farid Basharat Strikes absorbed / min: 2.44 2.44 Striking accuracy Chris Gutierrez Striking accuracy: 57% 57% Farid Basharat Striking accuracy: 58% 58% Striking defense Chris Gutierrez Striking defense: 63% 63% Farid Basharat Striking defense: 57% 57% Takedowns / 15 min Chris Gutierrez Takedowns / 15 min: 0.30 0.30 Farid Basharat Takedowns / 15 min: 3.96 3.96 Takedown defense Chris Gutierrez Takedown defense: 67% 67% Farid Basharat Takedown defense: 83% 83% Sub attempts / 15 min Chris Gutierrez Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.1 0.1 Farid Basharat Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.6 0.6

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 15% 15% Claude: Submission 25% 25% Claude: Decision 60% 60%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 11% 11% GPT: Submission 18% 18% GPT: Decision 71% 71%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Farid Basharat by Decision, 72% confidence

Basharat's superior grappling metrics (3.96 takedowns per fight vs 0.26) and perfect UFC record indicate he can control this fight. While Gutierrez has better striking defense (64% vs 57%), Basharat's 4-inch reach advantage and wrestling-heavy approach should neutralize Gutierrez's leg kick game. Basharat's 83% takedown defense also suggests he can keep the fight where he wants it.

GPT
Farid Basharat by Decision, 74% confidence

Basharat's multifaceted approach, featuring a high takedown average (3.96 per fight) and superior takedown defense (83%), matches well against Gutierrez's striking-oriented style. Gutierrez's strong striking defense and output will make him competitive on the feet, but Basharat's proven grappling and submission threat (0.6 subs per fight) should allow him to control key portions of the fight and sway the judges.