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UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2Women's FlyweightPrelims
Veronica HardyWINNER
Veronica
Hardy
5-4UFC
29 yrsElo 1514
VS
Brogan Walker
Brogan
Walker
0-2UFC
37 yrsElo 1439*
Final: Veronica Hardy by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
78%
Hardy
GPT
75%
Hardy
Elo
61%
Hardy
1514 vs 1439
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'4" Height 5'4"
64" Reach 67"
Southpaw Stance Switch
3.13 Landed / min 1.84
3.75 Absorbed / minlower better 3.32
45% Strike accuracy 32%
47% Strike defense 47%
1.08 Takedowns / 15 1.02
41% TD accuracy 75%
60% TD defense 11%
0.3 Subs / 15 0.0
Small sample: Brogan Walker, 2 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 15%Claude: Submission 12%Claude: Decision 73%
73%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 15%Submission 12%Decision 73%
GPT: KO/TKO 10%GPT: Submission 15%GPT: Decision 75%
75%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 10%Submission 15%Decision 75%
Formnewest first
Veronica Hardy321 days out
W
Eduarda Moura
· 2024-11-16
W
JJ Aldrich
U-DEC · 2023-12-16
W
Jamey-Lyn Horth
S-DEC · 2023-12-02
W
Juliana Miller
U-DEC · 2023-03-18
L
Bea Malecki
U-DEC · 2020-03-14
Brogan Walker896 days out
L
Iasmin Lucindo
U-DEC · 2023-04-22
L
Juliana Miller
KO/TKO · 2022-08-06
Why
Claude
Veronica Hardy
78% · Decision
  • Walker's 11% takedown defense vs Hardy's 41% takedown accuracy - expect 2-3 successful takedowns
  • Common opponent Juliana Miller: Hardy won by decision, Walker lost by KO/TKO showing durability concerns
  • Hardy's 5-0 recent form vs Walker's 0-2 with both losses being finishes
  • Walker absorbs 3.7 strikes per minute with only 47% defense, vulnerable to Hardy's southpaw angles
Write-up

Hardy's superior form (5-fight win streak vs Walker's 2-fight losing streak) combined with her grappling advantage creates a clear path to victory. Walker's 11% takedown defense is catastrophic against Hardy's 1.08 takedowns per fight. Hardy's southpaw stance against Walker's switch stance, coupled with Walker's poor 30% striking accuracy, allows Hardy to control distance and mix in takedowns effectively.

GPT
Veronica Hardy
75% · Decision
  • Significant edge in striking accuracy and volume for Hardy
  • Brogan Walker's extremely low takedown defense
  • Hardy's superior performance against common opponents
Write-up

Veronica Hardy holds statistical advantages in striking accuracy, output, and grappling. Her takedown defense and offensive wrestling are superior, and her performance against common opponents is notably better. Brogan Walker's low striking volume, poor takedown defense (11%), and negative strike differential (-1.66) are significant liabilities against Hardy's more well-rounded skillset.