Ramiz Brahimaj vs Austin Vanderford

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Vanderford enters with superior striking metrics across the board - better accuracy (52% vs 41%), higher volume (3.9 vs 1.74 SLPM), and perfect takedown defense (100%). Brahimaj is on a brutal 4-fight losing streak with consistency issues. While Brahimaj averages 1.6 submissions per fight, Vanderford's 100% TDD and 1.9 submission average suggests strong grappling defense. The 2-inch reach advantage for Vanderford combined with his volume striking should control range. Brahimaj's poor recent form and defensive liabilities make him vulnerable to Vanderford's consistent pressure.

Vanderford has a significant edge in striking output (3.9 SLPM vs. 1.74 for Brahimaj) and striking accuracy (52% vs. 41%), though both absorb more than they land. Vanderford's takedown defense (100%) should nullify Brahimaj's grappling entries, forcing exchanges where Vanderford's volume and accuracy favor him. While both fighters show submission ability, Vanderford's higher submission average (1.9 vs. 1.6) and perfect takedown defense further tilt the matchup in his favor over three rounds.