Middleweight · Prelims · UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
FINAL: Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO Elbows
Edmen Shahbazyan
Age 27 · Elo 1573
WWWLL
112 days since last fight
vs
Andre Muniz
Age 35 · Elo 1559
LWLLW
161 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Edmen ShahbazyanAndre Muniz
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Edmen ShahbazyanAndre Muniz
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Claude
Andre Muniz by Submission, 62% confidence
Muniz's elite submission game (1.2 sub avg) directly exploits Shahbazyan's vulnerability - Edmen has lost 2 of his last 5 by submission. Muniz averages 4.23 takedowns per fight with 50% accuracy, while Shahbazyan defends only 65% of attempts. The southpaw stance gives Muniz angles for level changes. Shahbazyan's inconsistent 50% win rate and tendency to get finished (3 finishes in last 5) favor the submission specialist.
GPT
Andre Muniz by Submission, 75% confidence
Muniz holds a significant grappling advantage with over 4 takedowns per fight, 1.2 submissions per fight, and a 50% takedown accuracy. Shahbazyan has struggled defensively against strong grapplers, with only 65% takedown defense and a negative striking differential. Muniz's submission threat is pronounced, and Shahbazyan's grappling has been a consistent weakness in his losses.