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UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2Light HeavyweightMain card
Magomed Ankalaev
Magomed
Ankalaev
12-2UFC
33 yrsElo 1635
VS
Alex PereiraWINNER
Alex
Pereira
9-2UFC
38 yrsElo 1672
Final: Alex Pereira by KO/TKO Elbows
Who wins
Claude
65%
Pereira
GPT
68%
Pereira
Elo
55%
Pereira
1635 vs 1672
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'3" Height 6'4"
75" Reach 79"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
3.64 Landed / min 5.01
2.25 Absorbed / minlower better 3.72
53% Strike accuracy 61%
59% Strike defense 52%
1.02 Takedowns / 15 0.11
31% TD accuracy 50%
86% TD defense 80%
0.0 Subs / 15 0.2
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 55%Claude: Submission 5%Claude: Decision 40%
55%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 3
KO/TKO 55%Submission 5%Decision 40%
GPT: KO/TKO 65%GPT: Submission 5%GPT: Decision 30%
65%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO
KO/TKO 65%Submission 5%Decision 30%
Formnewest first
Magomed Ankalaev209 days out
W
Alex Pereira
U-DEC · 2025-03-08
W
Johnny Walker
KO/TKO · 2024-01-13
W
Johnny Walker
CNC · 2023-10-21
L
Jan Blachowicz
S-DEC · 2022-12-10
W
Anthony Smith
KO/TKO · 2022-07-30
Alex Pereira209 days out
L
Magomed Ankalaev
U-DEC · 2025-03-08
W
Jamahal Hill
KO/TKO · 2024-04-13
W
Khalil Rountree Jr.
KO/TKO · 2024-04-13
W
Jiri Prochazka
KO/TKO · 2024-01-27
W
Jiri Prochazka
KO/TKO · 2023-11-11
Why
Claude
Alex Pereira
65% · KO/TKO
  • Pereira lands 1.82 more strikes per minute with 10% better accuracy (63% vs 53%)
  • Ankalaev's 31% takedown accuracy vs Pereira's 70% TDD suggests limited grappling success
  • Pereira defeated common opponent Blachowicz while Ankalaev lost to him
  • Pereira's 5-fight KO streak shows elite finishing ability at 205 pounds
Write-up

Pereira's superior striking volume (5.46 vs 3.64 SLPM) and knockout power give him the edge in this rematch. While Ankalaev has better takedown defense (86% vs 70%), his low takedown accuracy (31%) limits his ability to exploit Pereira's weaker ground game. Pereira's 4-inch reach advantage and perfect recent KO streak demonstrate his ability to find the finish against elite competition.

GPT
Alex Pereira
68% · KO/TKO
  • Pereira's superior striking accuracy and volume (5.46 SLPM, 63% accuracy)
  • Proven ability to beat similar opponents (win over Jan Blachowicz)
  • Ankalaev's relatively low grappling frequency (1.02 TD avg) and Pereira's improved takedown defense
Write-up

Alex Pereira's significant striking advantage, higher accuracy, and power give him an edge in a largely stand-up fight. Ankalaev's grappling could pose problems, but his wrestling output is low, and Pereira has shown improved takedown defense. Pereira's finishing ability and volume are key, especially considering Ankalaev's moderate output and tendency to engage at range.