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WINNER
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2MiddleweightPrelims
Abus
Magomedov
3-2UFC
VS
Joe
Pyfer
5-1UFC
Final: Joe Pyfer by SUB Rear Naked Choke
Who wins
Magomedov winsevenPyfer wins
GPT 70% Pyfer
Claude 68% Pyfer
Elo 58% Pyfer
Claude
68%
Pyfer
GPT
70%
Pyfer
Elo
58%
Pyfer
1537 vs 1593
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'2"
Height
6'2"
78"
Reach
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.06
Landed / min
3.72
3.34
Absorbed / minlower better
3.48
48%
Strike accuracy
41%
56%
Strike defense
51%
2.50
Takedowns / 15
1.45
59%
TD accuracy
41%
100%
TD defense
50%
0.6
Subs / 15
0.9
How it ends
52%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 52%Submission 18%Decision 30%
60%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO
KO/TKO 60%Submission 15%Decision 25%
Formnewest first
Abus Magomedov161 days out
W
Michel Pereira
U-DEC · 2025-04-26
W
Warlley Alves
U-DEC · 2023-12-23
L
Caio Borralho
U-DEC · 2023-11-04
L
Sean Strickland
KO/TKO · 2023-07-01
W
Dustin Stoltzfus
KO/TKO · 2022-09-03
Joe Pyfer119 days out
W
Kelvin Gastelum
U-DEC · 2025-06-07
L
Jack Hermansson
U-DEC · 2024-02-10
W
Marc-Andre Barriault
KO/TKO · 2024-01-27
W
Abdul Razak Alhassan
SUB · 2023-10-07
W
Gerald Meerschaert
KO/TKO · 2023-04-08
Why
Claude
Joe Pyfer
68% · KO/TKO
- Pyfer's finishing rate and power advantage - 3 recent KO/TKOs vs Magomedov's 1 in last 5
- Magomedov's negative strike differential (-0.85) leaves him vulnerable to volume strikers
- Pyfer's submission game (0.9 sub avg) provides secondary threat if striking fails
- Magomedov coming off back-to-back decisions suggests diminished finishing ability
Write-up
Pyfer's 83.3% win rate and superior finishing ability (3 KO/TKOs in last 5) contrasts sharply with Magomedov's recent decision-heavy approach. Magomedov absorbs 3.73 strikes per minute while landing only 2.88, creating a -0.85 differential that Pyfer can exploit with his 3.72 SLPM output. Magomedov's 44% striking accuracy is concerning against Pyfer's aggressive style.
GPT
Joe Pyfer
70% · KO/TKO
- Pyfer's higher SLpM and positive striking differential
- Magomedov absorbs more strikes than he lands
- Pyfer's high finish rate and power advantage
Write-up
Joe Pyfer brings a higher striking volume, better finishing rate, and a positive striking differential. Magomedov's negative strike differential and lower output make him vulnerable to Pyfer's power. Pyfer's submission threat adds another layer, and Magomedov's cardio and durability have been questioned under pressure.