Abus Magomedov vs Joe Pyfer

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Pyfer's 83.3% win rate and superior finishing ability (3 KO/TKOs in last 5) contrasts sharply with Magomedov's recent decision-heavy approach. Magomedov absorbs 3.73 strikes per minute while landing only 2.88, creating a -0.85 differential that Pyfer can exploit with his 3.72 SLPM output. Magomedov's 44% striking accuracy is concerning against Pyfer's aggressive style.

Joe Pyfer brings a higher striking volume, better finishing rate, and a positive striking differential. Magomedov's negative strike differential and lower output make him vulnerable to Pyfer's power. Pyfer's submission threat adds another layer, and Magomedov's cardio and durability have been questioned under pressure.