Tim Elliott vs Kai Asakura

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Elliott's extensive UFC experience and elite grappling game presents a nightmare matchup for Asakura's UFC debut. With 3.73 takedowns per fight at 47% accuracy and 1 submission per fight average, Elliott will exploit Asakura's limited grappling defense (57% TDD). Asakura's striking differential of -2.12 and poor defensive metrics (38% striking defense) suggest vulnerability to pressure, which Elliott excels at applying through his unorthodox movement and constant level changes.

Elliott's superior wrestling, grappling volume, and defensive metrics provide a clear edge over Asakura, whose striking defense and takedown defense are statistically weak. Elliott's relentless pace and control should neutralize Asakura's power and accuracy, leading to a decision win.