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Jessica Andrade vs Loopy Godinez

Women's Strawweight · Prelims · UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev

FINAL: Loopy Godinez by U-DEC
Jessica Andrade
Jessica Andrade
Age 33 · Elo 1549
LWLWL
98 days since last fight
vs
Loopy Godinez
Loopy Godinez
Age 31 · Elo 1550
WLLWW
140 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Jessica AndradeLoopy Godinez
Claude Claude: Jessica Andrade 72% Claude: Loopy Godinez 28% 72% 28% GPT GPT: Jessica Andrade 67% GPT: Loopy Godinez 33% 67% 33% Elo Elo: Jessica Andrade 50% Elo: Loopy Godinez 50% 50% 50%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Jessica AndradeLoopy Godinez
Strikes landed / min Jessica Andrade Strikes landed / min: 6.39 6.39 Loopy Godinez Strikes landed / min: 4.28 4.28 Strikes absorbed / min Jessica Andrade Strikes absorbed / min: 5.49 5.49 Loopy Godinez Strikes absorbed / min: 3.87 3.87 Striking accuracy Jessica Andrade Striking accuracy: 50% 50% Loopy Godinez Striking accuracy: 48% 48% Striking defense Jessica Andrade Striking defense: 54% 54% Loopy Godinez Striking defense: 61% 61% Takedowns / 15 min Jessica Andrade Takedowns / 15 min: 2.21 2.21 Loopy Godinez Takedowns / 15 min: 3.12 3.12 Takedown defense Jessica Andrade Takedown defense: 71% 71% Loopy Godinez Takedown defense: 81% 81% Sub attempts / 15 min Jessica Andrade Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.3 0.3 Loopy Godinez Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.9 0.9

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 48% 48% Claude: Submission 12% 12% Claude: Decision 40% 40%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 22% 22% GPT: Submission 8% 8% GPT: Decision 70% 70%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Jessica Andrade by KO/TKO, 72% confidence

Andrade's 4-0 record against common opponents versus Godinez's 1-3 demonstrates a clear quality gap. Andrade's superior striking volume (6.39 vs 4.28 SLPM) and power finishing ability (3 KO/TKO wins against shared opponents) will overwhelm Godinez, who is on a 3-fight losing streak and has shown vulnerability to pressure fighters.

GPT
Jessica Andrade by Decision, 67% confidence

Andrade's superior striking volume, power, and proven success against common opponents give her the edge. While Godinez is a strong wrestler with excellent takedown defense, Andrade's pressure, high output, and ability to defend takedowns (71% TDDef) should allow her to dictate the pace and win rounds. Godinez's submission threat is notable, but Andrade has only been submitted by elite grapplers. Expect Andrade to out-land Godinez on the feet and defend enough takedowns to win a competitive decision.