Jared Cannonier vs Michael Page

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Cannonier's power striking and durability advantage should overwhelm Page's flashy but lower-volume approach. Page is moving up from welterweight where he struggled against top competition, and Cannonier's 82% higher striking volume (4.6 vs 2.53 SLPM) combined with his proven middleweight power presents a significant challenge. Page's 55% striking defense is vulnerable to Cannonier's switch-stance attacks, and the 4-fight losing streak actually motivates Cannonier to return to his aggressive roots.

Cannonier's higher striking volume and proven knockout power give him the edge against Page, who has a lower output and less experience against elite middleweight finishers. While Page's striking accuracy and movement will present early problems, Cannonier's pressure, durability, and ability to land big shots over three rounds are likely to wear Page down. Both fighters have similar takedown defense, making a striking battle likely, where Cannonier's physicality and volume should prevail.